Early on in the season we have a few tasty fixtures.
Which powerhouse is likely to lose first? Messiah, Wheaton, Loras, OWU, SUNY Oneonta, Trinity? My guess is K-zoo beating OWU on 9/4.
9/1 Loras vs UW-O
9/1 Dickinson vs Catholic
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9/4 OWU vs Kalamazoo
9/4 Covenant vs Montclair St
9/4 CSS vs Hope
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9/5 Messiah vs Carnegie Mellon
9/5 Brandeis vs Trinity (TX)
9/5 Haverford vs Stevens Tech
9/5 Calvin vs Gordon
9/5 Rutgers-Newark vs Rochester
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9/6 Rutgers-Newark vs Cortland St
9/6 Rutgers-Camden vs Salisbury
9/6 Thomas More vs Case Western
9/6 Lycoming vs York (PA)
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9/8 Wheaton vs Loras
9/9 Williams vs SUNY Oneonta
9/9 Methodist vs Virginia Wesleyan
9/9 Wheaton vs WNEC
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9/11 Emory vs Centre
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9/12 Wheaton (Ill) vs Berry
9/12 Babson vs Brandeis
9/12 Carnegie Mellon vs Kenyon
9/12 Muhlenberg vs Stevens Tech
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9/13 Christopher Newport vs Rutgers-Camden
9/13 UC Santa Cruz vs Whitworth
9/13 Wartburg vs Colorado College
Morrisville State opens with Oneonta St, Cortland St, Rochester
I am most looking forward to Brandeis early season Texas swing. My gut says that if this trip took place in early October the results would be a bit different but I am predicting they struggle this trip. I think Brandeis will still be searching for team cohesiveness this early in the season with the loss of key senior leaders. No doubt they still have a great roster with excellent depth and a strong frosh class coming in but sometimes it takes a few weeks to get everyone om the same page.
Messiah at Carnegie Mellon will also be very interesting. I remember watching about 3-4 Carnegie Mellon games last year and was impressed how competitive they were in the games I watched. They should have gotten a result at Brandeis last year as they were unlucky not to finish a couple clear chances. They only lost 1 game(0-3 v Kenyon in 1st game of the season) by more than 1 goal all year. To me they looked like an organized well coached team that over achieved a bit. This tells me that once the new coach gets the players to compete they will learn to finish games and be atop the UAA very soon.
The best time to get a result against Messiah, or any top team for that matter, is the 1st or 2nd game of the season. Players are still getting their legs, team cohesiveness, new captains and leaders, different roles and new faces and much much more can factor into the UPSET happening the first week. If memory serves in 2012 Utica went down to Messiah on the opening weekend and went up 1-0 in the 1st minute on a fluke goal. (the odds on Utica scoring 1st in that game would have been 10,000 to 1). Messiah ended up winning 2-1 but if that same game had happened mid October it would have been 6-1.
Oneonta at Williams will also be intriguing. Oneonta will have been together since August 20th with 4 games under their belt while Williams with a new coach. new style , 1st game of the season and only back since Aug 30th are at a clear disadvantage. Oneonta will love Williasm 120 x 80 field as they were very fit lsat year and looked like they could run all day. This is a real head scratcher as to why Sullivan would schedule this game as the 1st game of the season putting Williams in a real battle their 1st game of the year. Late September would have worked much better. I think Oneonta wins this game 3-1
Interesting early trip out West for Oberlin, taking on Occidental and Pomona-Pitzer.
Quote from: Mr.Right on August 26, 2015, 08:16:29 PM
I am most looking forward to Brandeis early season Texas swing. My gut says that if this trip took place in early October the results would be a bit different but I am predicting they struggle this trip. I think Brandeis will still be searching for team cohesiveness this early in the season with the loss of key senior leaders. No doubt they still have a great roster with excellent depth and a strong frosh class coming in but sometimes it takes a few weeks to get everyone om the same page.
I also think in general people underestimate how difficult it is to go on the road and win in these games that require traveling via flights. Brandeis will be somewhat used to this due to the UAA schedule, but it's still a long trip with quality opponents so I would not be surprised at all to see them struggle as well. It's great to see them schedule this trip on top of their already difficult schedule though; should they make the tournament again this year having as many games like these as possible under their belts can only help
Great thread!
Messiah went to the bakery this season... Plenty of cupcakes for a rebuilding year. The Mid Atlantic is a strong region with teams on the up and up. Must win the conference this year or they will be on the outside looking in.
I think Trinity will dominate Brandeis...
I think CMU atleast gets a point vs Messiah.
Loras will beat Wheaton...
Camden will beat Salisbury
Please add rivalry games to this thread. I know most of them are scheduled for later in the season, but it's easy to overlook one with so many games on the daily card(s).
I'll probably put something more detailed together over the next week or so once I can check out everyone's schedule, but OWU has some decent regional games:
9/4 OWU vs Kalamazoo - 2nd in MIAA in 2014 making the trip, should be an entertaining early-season game
9/12 OWU @ Centre - Centre is the big, physical style of team that often causes OWU problems
9/16 OWU @ Ohio Northern - generally top two teams in Great Lakes region, almost always lots of goals
Unfortunately no real powerhouse out-of-region team on the early schedule, whereas in the last five years they've had Wheaton (2x), Calvin (2x), CNU (2x), Messiah, etc. And Carnegie Mellon, despite being in-region, hasn't been on the schedule since some lopsided results a few years back.
Quote from: Mr.Right on August 26, 2015, 08:36:52 PM
Oneonta at Williams will also be intriguing. Oneonta will have been together since August 20th with 4 games under their belt while Williams with a new coach. new style , 1st game of the season and only back since Aug 30th are at a clear disadvantage. Oneonta will love Williasm 120 x 80 field as they were very fit lsat year and looked like they could run all day. This is a real head scratcher as to why Sullivan would schedule this game as the 1st game of the season putting Williams in a real battle their 1st game of the year. Late September would have worked much better. I think Oneonta wins this game 3-1
Good analysis...perhaps Sullivan wants to open with a very tough game so he can gage his team, and also continually point to it, if a loss or tie, to keep the team focused on improving...ie."you're good, but your not that good, certainly not yet, but you can be". If its a win, then it's a huge momentum lift. Better to lose early than late.
Isn't it possible that the scheduling of the Williams-Oneonta game was in the works or even finalized before Sullivan was hired? I don't know how far ahead scheduling is done and Sullivan was named very quickly after the 2014 season closed. Just didn't know if it should be assumed the early Oneonta game was his doing.
Quote from: Flying Weasel on August 27, 2015, 01:58:12 PM
Isn't it possible that the scheduling of the Williams-Oneonta game was in the works or even finalized before Sullivan was hired? I don't know how far ahead scheduling is done and Sullivan was named very quickly after the 2014 season closed. Just didn't know if it should be assumed the early Oneonta game was his doing.
After being around Nescac for as long as I have I can say with quite certainty that Russo would never have scheduled that game for all the disadvantages I listed. He would never have scheduled his toughest non-conference game and most likely his toughest game all season as the 1st game of the year on Sept 8th with Williams only being back for a week vs Oneonta who will have been on their 5th game and 3 weeks since the start of their pre-season. I would bet my house on it. He also would not have scheduled that game knowing a new coach was taking over. Also, Sullivan when at WNEC has played Oneonta the past couple of seasons so maybe the coaches get along well and like to play each other.
On that note I can also tell you I am also not very surprised to see Trinity CT playing back to back games to open the season on a Tuesday and Wednesday before welcoming Williams that Saturday. One in a long line of boneheaded moves made by Pilger the past 12 years at the helm of Trinity
Stevens Tech Pryor nets a hat trick and scores late to beat Haverford 3-2.
Camden misses a bundle of opportunities and beats St. Mary's in OT with a PK by Connor Hurff (3G 5A on season).
No surprise to see Messiah lose on the road in a great finish.
K-zoo my "upset" pick falls in OT to OWU. Have not looked at box score...
Oneonta St with a 3rd consecutive clean sheet which spells trouble for Williams.
Etown up 2-0 on DeSales. Shoulda been on this thread former AA George Crampton (Etown alum) vs Skipper
Etown looking to start 3-0 on season with a win over Dickinson. Centennial with a rough star this far...
Rough start for CC but playing enough quality opponents to take a lump early.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on September 05, 2015, 10:45:57 PM
Stevens Tech Pryor nets a hat trick and scores late to beat Haverford 3-2.
Camden misses a bundle of opportunities and beats St. Mary's in OT with a PK by Connor Hurff (3G 5A on season).
No surprise to see Messiah lose on the road in a great finish.
K-zoo my "upset" pick falls in OT to OWU. Have not looked at box score...
Oneonta St with a 3rd consecutive clean sheet which spells trouble for Williams.
I agree Williams will be in trouble against Oneonta but lets face it Oneonta has played NO ONE worthy of scoring against them. Williams has the talent to compete for sure but will they be ready. A mid-week 2 1/2 hour drive could be daunting. I say maybe 2-1 Oneonta
Biggest surprise has to be ECONN beating Babson 3-0 and going on the road to defeat Muhlenberg 1-0. If they can get a Win at Wesleyan this week they will have a solid NCAA resume before they start league play.
9/9/15 Fixtures
Christopher Newport @ North Carolina Wesleyan 4:00 PM
Oneonta State @ Williams 4:00 PM LS V
Elmhurst @ Dominican 5:00 PM LS V
Scranton @ Muhlenberg 7:00 PM LS V V
York @ Alvernia 7:00 PM
Methodist @ VWU 7:00 PM
Stevens Tech @ TCNJ 7:30 PM
North Park @ Chicago 8:00 PM
Tough first spot for Williams as Oneonta St has 3 games under their belt. I'll say 2-1 Oneonta St.
5:00 PM---Johns Hopkins at Frostburg State
That's the one that catches my eye the most.
Methodist at VWU would have been a HUGE 80's/90's matchup
Next Wed and Sunday we have some excellent match-ups.
Tues 9/15
Skidmore @ Williams
Scranton @ Miseri
Wed 9/16
CNU @ Methodist
Oneonta @ RPI
OWU @ ONU
Loras @ Chicago
E-town @ F&M
Gettysburg @ Messiah
WPI @ Brandeis
Swat @ Eastern
R-H @ Wabash
York @ JHU
Cabrini @ Camden
Thurs 9/17
Centre @ Thomas More
Friday 9/18
SLU @ Cortland St
UWW @ Carthage
Saturday 9/19
Oneonta St @ MSU
Conn @ Tufts
Loras @ DePauw
Swat @ F&M
Catholic @ E-town
Whitworth @ Williamette
Midd @ Amherst
R-H @ Wheaton
Wesleyan @ Bowdoin
Haverford @ JHU
Methodist @ Maryville
Williams @ Colby
St. Olaf @ GAC
ONU @ Case Western
Hope @ Calvin
Miseri @ York
Rutgers-Camden @ WPU
Dominican @ North Park
Looking forward to ETOWN vs F&M! Swat has a busy upcoming schedule with F&M and Eastern.
What was the given reason as to why E-Town switched conferences?
Tired of losing to Messiah, maybe?
It doesn't look like from geographic standpoint that it makes sense, but Juniata, Susqu, Moravian left. Scranton and Drew from the other side of the MAC as well.
Do any of these schools have Football? I am just curious as to what these 2 conferences looked like before / after...Could anyone help me out on which teams were in which conferences before all this switching and the approx. years...I am trying to look into something based on this info
Quote from: Mr.Right on September 10, 2015, 04:41:58 PM
Do any of these schools have Football? I am just curious as to what these 2 conferences looked like before / after...Could anyone help me out on which teams were in which conferences before all this switching and the approx. years...I am trying to look into something based on this info
Susquehanna, Moravian and Juniata have football. Scranton and Drew do not.
Messiah will be tested vs York and Miseri this week. Brandeis has a chance to knock off Tufts. Lynchburg will give CNU a battle. Misericordia travels to Camden and Messiah. Lycoming goes to Rochester. Grove City will up-end CMU. Gordon will beat ECSU. Some big SUNYAC, NESCAC, NJAC, NCAC match-ups.
Tues, 9/22
Messiah @ York
ECSU @ Gordon
Calvin @ Alma
MA-Boston @ Wentworth
Wed, 9/23
Lynchburg @ CNU
Plattsburgh St @ SLU
E-town @ Alvernia
Eastern @ Salisbury
Drew @ TCNJ
Stockton @ Haverford
Roanoke @ Randolph-Macon
Dickinson @ Mary Washington
CSS @ UW-Superior
Rose-Hulman @ DePauw
Swarthmore @ Stevens Tech
Miseri @ Rutgers-Camden
Friday, 9/25
Grove City @ CMU
Chicago @ Wheaton (IL)
Buffalo St @ Brockport St
UW-Oshkosh @ North Park
Saturday, 9/26 Plenty of excellent match-ups
Brandeis @ Tufts
F&M @ Washington College
Stockton @ MSU
OWU @ Denison
Miseri @ Messiah
Amherst @ Williams
York @ Salisbury
Kean @ TCNJ
Oneonta St @ Cortland St
Potsdam @ Plattsburgh St
Middlebury @ Bowdoin
Trinity @ Colby
MIT @ Babson
St. Thomas @ GAC
Oberlin @ DePauw
Gordon @ Wentworth
Hope @ K-zoo
Lycoming @ Rochester
Gettysburg @ Muhlenburg
Sunday, 9/27
Bates @ Williams
RPI @ Babson
UCSC @ Redlands
Excellent matchups coming up. I think Messiah supporters for the first time in a long time do not know what to expect each game. May I say welcome to the reality of D3 for the rest of us.
Plenty of teams with MUST wins this week come November. Messiah needs both those games this week and the Lycoming game if they do not win their conference.
That RPI v Babson game is a must win for Babson but if someone gave me odds I would bet a DRAW.
Plattsburgh at SLU--I would argue both teams need this game, however Plattsburgh more than SLU.
Stockton at Haverford---I am impressed with the way Haverford played Wesleyan and also commend them for playing the toughest schedule in the country BUT you must get ssome results from these games.
Miser at Camden--Miser has played a decent schedule and I would argue both teams could use this win come November.
Monday and Tuesday this week look to be a non factor in many match-ups this week except MIT at Brandeis..Wednesday looks good
Tuesday:
MIT at Brandeis
Wednesday:
Union at RPI
Haverford at Camden
ECONN at Conn College
Rowan at Swathmore
UMASS Boston at Babson
Stevens at Manhattanville
Dickinson at Misericordia
Scranton at Drew
Oberlin at Case Western
Muhlenberg at TCNJ
Wheaton Ill at UW Oshkosh
Feel free to add any I missed, but all these games have tons of impact for Pool C's win or lose
I like Rowan and TCNJ against Swarthmore and Muhlenberg who are struggling this year. However, I am going with Haverford and Camden to draw. I would say this is a MUST win for both teams and would look good in November
Tuesday, 10/13
Conn @ Amherst LS V
Gordon @ Tufts LS V
Williams @ Endicott LS V (Endicott with a quiet 9 SO's on the year, including a 0-0 result vs Calvin
MA-Boston @ WNEC LS V
Catholic @ Haverford LS V
Wednesday, 10/14
Kean @ MSU LS
Oberlin @ Kenyon
Calvin @ Hope V
CNU @ St. Mary's
Denison @ Wabash
Messiah @ Lycoming
GAC @ St. John's LS V
W&L @ Lynchburg V
Merchant Marine @ Stevens Tech LS V
Rutgers-Camden @ TCNJ
Stockton @ Rowan
Carthage @ Wheaton (IL)
Friday, 10/16
Chicago @ Brandeis LS V
Rochester @ CMU LS V
Brockport St @ Cortland St
Vassar @ Hobart
RPI @ SLU
Emory @ Case Western LS V
UCSC @ North Park
Saturday, 10/17
F&M @ JHU LS V
MSU @ Rutgers-Camden
Denison @ Kenyon LS V
Alma @ Calvin LS V
George Fox @ Whitworth
Buffalo St @ Plattsburgh St
Luther @ Loras
Catholic @ Scranton
Rowan @ WPU
Williams @ Wesleyan
Trinity @ Middlebury
Union @ SLU
Salisbury @ Mary Washington
Muhlenberg @ Haverford
Manhattanville @ Misericordia
Gettysburg @ Dickinson
Lycoming @ Alvernia
Rutgers-Newark @ Kean
VWU @ Randolph
Sunday, October 18
Amherst @ Bates
Washington U @ Brandeis
Emory @ CMU
Williams @ Babson
Carleton @ CSS
Rochester @ Case Western
Chicago @ NYU
Centre @ Millsaps
Wartburg @ St. Olaf
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 13, 2015, 10:18:25 AM
Tuesday, 10/13
Williams @ Endicott LS V (Endicott with a quiet 9 SO's on the year, including a 0-0 result vs Calvin
I like Endicott in this one, honestly. Williams is coming in hot after a huge win at RPI, but the Gulls have quietly put together a 10-1-1 record - their only loss coming at home to Tufts. I've watched them a couple of times this year, and they move the ball well and are relatively athletic. Couple that with playing on a turf that will likely be wet, and I think the Gulls could catch the visiting Ephs by surprise.
Some moving games today for teams.
Kean @ Montclair 7:00 pm
CNU @ St. Mary's 1:30 pm (CNU is 2-0-2 in conference)
Denison @ Wabash 4:00 pm
Messiah @ Lycoming 4:00 pm
DeSales @ Manhattanville 2:30 pm
Arcadia @ LVC 4:00 pm
Merchant Marines @ Stevens 7:00 pm
Scranton @ Dickinson 7:00 pm
Stockton @ Rowan 7:00 pm
William Paterson @ Rutgers-Newark 7:30 pm
Camden @ TCNJ
Looks like important games in the NJAC/South Atlantic region.
Quote from: lastguyoffthebench on October 13, 2015, 01:54:52 PM
I'll take Gordon, Williams, Haverford, Amherst, WNEC (Draw) today. Here's to hoping for a Dutch win and a Turkey loss or draw.
MSU will be too much for Kean. Hope with the "upset" over Calvin. St. Mary's to atleast DRAW vs CNU. Mary Washington over Salisbury. Rutgers-Camden over MSU.
UPSET SPECIAL: JHU over F&M
My upset special for today's slate of games is Scranton over Dickinson on the road 3-2 in OT.
My upset special for the weekend slate is Buff. St. over Platts. St. 2-1 in 2OT.
Lots of great games this week/weekend!!!
Tuesday 10-20-2015:
Big matchup:
12pm Rutgers Newark v Stevens-----Both teams have maybe 1 or 2 solid wins on their resumes. I believe Stevens defeated Haverford but both teams NEED this game for Pool C consideration. RUN needs it more as they have 4 losses and 1 SOLID win on the resume. Stevens usually wins the Empire 8 but that is not a given this year. RUN needs this game to get onto the Bubble IMO
OWU at DePauw----My Midwest friends can fill in the preview of this game but OWU cannot afford 2 more slip-ups
Other big games:
Ohio Northern is 13-3-0 but they cannot have any more blemishes, especially against Heidleberg.
Bowdoin at Colby is a MUST for Bowdoin to get into the Nescac Play-offs to defend its title and to get a better seed in tournament.
Messiah and Lycoming need to keep winning, but Lycoming must go clean to even have a chance at getting on the bubble.
#14 Eastern is a conundrum.. They have some good wins v Lycoming, Salisbury, Swarthmore and Misericordia but unfortunately those wins will not be as profound to the committee and I am guessing their league is a 1 bid league
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 19, 2015, 04:36:48 PM
Other big games:
Ohio Northern is 13-3-0 but they cannot have any more blemishes, especially against Heidleberg.
Bowdoin at Colby is a MUST for Bowdoin to get into the Nescac Play-offs to defend its title and to get a better seed in tournament.
Messiah and Lycoming need to keep winning, but Lycoming must go clean to even have a chance at getting on the bubble.
Lycoming is top 10 in Massey Ratings at the moment (ahead of Etown), so I am confused at how they aren't on the right side of the bubble at the moment let alone trying to get on the bubble? Am I missing something? If Eastern loses the conference they will be a bubble team due to their poor SOS%, but as for Messiah and Lycoming, yes they both need to win, but Messiah is more on the bubble than Lycoming at this moment in time don't you agree? Also, thoughts on a surging Dickinson? Do you think they have any shot at a Pool C bid? They have Swat, Muhl, and F&M left. Say they win 2 lose 1 that puts them at 11-4-2 headed into playoffs...it's going to be tight!
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 19, 2015, 04:39:31 PM
#14 Eastern is a conundrum.. They have some good wins v Lycoming, Salisbury, Swarthmore and Misericordia but unfortunately those wins will not be as profound to the committee and I am guessing their league is a 1 bid league
Yes I agree with you on this one. Lycoming was the first game of the year so I am not sure if the committee considers anything along those lines but by the looks of the box score the game winning goal in overtime was Eastern's only shot on goal all game. Lycoming dominated the game from the looks of it and according to the recaps. Salisbury is a good win for sure as well. Swat and Misericordia I wouldn't consider good wins this year. Maybe in the past but both teams are right around .500 this year. Their league is without a doubt a 1 bid league. Kings might upset them again in conference playoffs and win the Freedom for the 3rd straight season! What a story that would be.
Lycoming is the definition of a BUBBLE team...Messiah is nowhere near the bubble....I think both will need to win the league
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 19, 2015, 05:00:03 PM
Lycoming is the definition of a BUBBLE team...Messiah is nowhere near the bubble....I think both will need to win the league
I wouldn't say definition of a bubble team considering they are 11-1-2 (on the data sheet not sure how they have done since rankings were reported) and 2nd in their region with very high SOS and winning %. 1-1 vs ranked when that comes out next week. Hard to say that's a bubble team but Skidmore is good? I think you have it backwards.
Next weeks rankings including the record v ranked and Lycoming's SOS will drop them in the regional rankings for sure....Also, I have a feeling Messiah will drop out of the regional rankings factoring in their Record v Ranked so Lycoming has played ZERO rankd teams because U of Rochester is not ranked either....They do play Oneonta and if they get a result there then I will be on board....Check Lycoming's spectacular record last year in 2014 and tell me how that turned out for them come Selection Sunday.....
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 22, 2015, 03:36:27 PM
Next weeks rankings including the record v ranked and Lycoming's SOS will drop them in the regional rankings for sure....Also, I have a feeling Messiah will drop out of the regional rankings factoring in their Record v Ranked so Lycoming has played ZERO rankd teams because U of Rochester is not ranked either....They do play Oneonta and if they get a result there then I will be on board....Check Lycoming's spectacular record last year in 2014 and tell me how that turned out for them come Selection Sunday.....
If I remember correctly they didn't have the SOS last year that they have this year...they were 7th I believe last year in the region? Something like that 6th or 7th. Either way most people were not surprised to not see them get in. Were they deserving? Eh probably. If they got in would people have complained? Maybe some. But this year being #2 at the moment and with their winning % and SOS which is higher than Dickinson's btw I think they are on the right track. Messiah won't drop because there is no one else behind them to put ahead!!!!
Lycoming's schedule...Please tell me the Record v Ranked...There SOS is currently .560 which is just above the bubble...It will go up after playing Hood and Oneonta and a couple MACC playoff games...I bet it finishes at .580 which is good but again what is their record v ranked? 0-1-0 against Eastern who might not be ranked next week either..and 1-0-0 against messiah who might frop of the rankings also but their SOS might keep them there, that is debatable. So RvR is 1-1-0...with a .580 SOS they will get in with that but it is not a definite. If they have a 0-1-0 RvR if Messiah drops out then you are talking BUBBLE team which is what I stated to begin with. Lycoming is a BUBBLE team but most likely on the right side of it.
9/1 vs. Eastern • L, 1-0
9/4 at Scranton • W, 3-0 BX
9/6 at York (Pa.) • W, 3-2 BX
9/9 vs. Susquehanna • W, 4-2 BX
9/12 vs. Geneva • W, 2-0
9/16 vs. Juniata • W, 6-0 BX
9/19 vs. Keystone • W, 5-1 BX
9/21 at Mount Aloysius • W, 2-0 BX
9/26 at Rochester • T, 0-0 BX
9/29 at Penn College • Postponed
10/3 vs. Albright * • W, 4-0
10/6 at Stevenson * • W, 5-0 BX
10/10 at Arcadia * • T, 1-1
10/14 vs. Messiah * • W, 2-0 BX
10/17 at Alvernia * • W, 2-1
10/20 vs. Lebanon Valley * • W, 1-0
10/24 vs. Hood * • 2:00 PM LS V
10/28 vs. Oneonta State • 3:30 PM
10/31 vs. Widener * • 3:00 PM
I thought .500 was the magical number? They aren't a bubble team at the moment and until they stumble they will continue to be safe. Messiah most likely won't drop out of the rankings. JHU and Dickinsons record vs ranked isn't any better than Messiahs. Keep that in mind.
Mr. Right makes up numbers depending on the week. One week .530 is good enough the next you need .655 to not be a bubble team.
Quote from: Shooter McGavin on October 22, 2015, 08:50:41 PM
Mr. Right makes up numbers depending on the week. One week .530 is good enough the next you need .655 to not be a bubble team.
Easy now. It could change depending on the year although I do think Mr. Right you hold a very high threshold and thin line for teams that probably should have a little more leeway for the time being.
Quote from: Mr.Right on October 22, 2015, 05:09:54 PM
Lycoming's schedule...Please tell me the Record v Ranked...There SOS is currently .560 which is just above the bubble...It will go up after playing Hood and Oneonta and a couple MACC playoff games...I bet it finishes at .580 which is good but again what is their record v ranked? 0-1-0 against Eastern who might not be ranked next week either..and 1-0-0 against messiah who might frop of the rankings also but their SOS might keep them there, that is debatable. So RvR is 1-1-0...with a .580 SOS they will get in with that but it is not a definite. If they have a 0-1-0 RvR if Messiah drops out then you are talking BUBBLE team which is what I stated to begin with. Lycoming is a BUBBLE team but most likely on the right side of it.
The section what I put in bold is what I have been trying to say to you the past couple weeks. Don't disagree with you their. And they still have Oneonta St. left so that will add to their record vs ranked for better or for worse. Either way Oneonta St. is not dropping out of the rankings in their region. I don't think Messiah will either. As long as Messiah wins out they should be okay. I will check some stuff out later and put a comparison together for the region but I will post it in the Mid-Atlantic Region topic/section. :)
Just to name a few:
In bold are the must watch games this week/weekend.
Case Western @ Chicago
Brandeis @ UR
CMU @ Chicago
Etown @ Scranton
Oneonta St. @ Lycoming
F&M @ Gettysburg
Dickinson @ F&M
Williams @ Middlebury
Stevenson @ Messiah
Alvernia @ Messiah
Kenyon @ OWU
Wabash @ DePauw
Wabash @ Kenyon
Cabrini @ Keystone
Stevens @ MIT
TCNJ @ Rowan
RNU @ MSU
Stockton @ Camden
Mt. Aloysius @ PSU-Altoona
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2015, 11:52:03 AM
Just to name a few:
In bold are the must watch games this week/weekend.
Case Western @ Chicago
Brandeis @ UR
CMU @ Chicago
Etown @ Scranton
Oneonta St. @ Lycoming
F&M @ Gettysburg
Dickinson @ F&M
Williams @ Middlebury
Stevenson @ Messiah
Alvernia @ Messiah
Kenyon @ OWU
Wabash @ DePauw
Wabash @ Kenyon
Cabrini @ Keystone
Stevens @ MIT
TCNJ @ Rowan
RNU @ MSU
Stockton @ Camden
Mt. Aloysius @ PSU-Altoona
In the Tues/Weds action, I would also highly recommend:
Loras @ Dubuque
Wesleyan @ Conn Coll
Gordon @ Endicott
St Johns @ Macalester
Calvin @ KZoo
Bowdoin @ Tufts
Greensboro @ NC Wesleyan
W&L @ Randolph
Williams at Midd....Midd has not beaten Williams since 2010...If Williams get the win and Midd loses in the 1st round of Nescac Play-offs, there season will be OVER....BIG GAME
I also think Gordon v Endicott will be interesting. Endicott has to feel slighted that they were not ranked and Gordon was because of SOS but I think Endicott comes out like gangbusters with a chip on their shoulder and basically ends any chance or even if there was a chance at a Pool C for Gordon
Quote from: NCAC New England on October 26, 2015, 02:08:48 PM
Quote from: Mid-Atlantic Fan on October 26, 2015, 11:52:03 AM
Just to name a few:
In bold are the must watch games this week/weekend.
Case Western @ Chicago
Brandeis @ UR
CMU @ Chicago
Etown @ Scranton
Oneonta St. @ Lycoming
F&M @ Gettysburg
Dickinson @ F&M
Williams @ Middlebury
Stevenson @ Messiah
Alvernia @ Messiah
Kenyon @ OWU
Wabash @ DePauw
Wabash @ Kenyon
Cabrini @ Keystone
Stevens @ MIT
TCNJ @ Rowan
RNU @ MSU
Stockton @ Camden
Mt. Aloysius @ PSU-Altoona
In the Tues/Weds action, I would also highly recommend:
Loras @ Dubuque
Wesleyan @ Conn Coll
Gordon @ Endicott
St Johns @ Macalester
Calvin @ KZoo
Bowdoin @ Tufts
Greensboro @ NC Wesleyan
W&L @ Randolph
0-0 into OT at Calvin - 38 total fouls in the 10/3 game. This time at Kzoo - very plausible for Kzoo to knock them from the unbeatens.
Curious to see how F&M recovers over the next few games. I also think one that was not in bold that we should look at is Etown @ Scranton. Top 2 teams in the conference clashing. Both have already secured the top 2 spots. I wonder if Etown will rest and get healthy? Scranton back in the playoffs for the first time since 2012 I believe? Have been quietly dangerous this year. That's a must watch game in my book and one that I will be tuning into for sure.
Also intrigued by CMU @ Chicago...we will see if D3 Soccer Poll is right or if they are overrated and a fluke as I see them. Cheering for Chicago in this one! ;D
Top 5 Games of the Day:
1. Kenyon at Ohio Wesleyan
2. Newark at Montclair
3. Oneonta St. at Lycoming
4. F&M at Gettysburg
5. Stevens at MIT
Honorable Mention:
Calvin at Kalamazoo
UWW at UWP
Williams at Middlebury
TCNJ at Rowan
Stockton at Camden
Wabash at DePauw
Any news on cancellations yet due to predicted rain in the forecast? It has been raining across the great lakes and north east since last night. Obviously grass fields will be a no go but with anticipated wind gusts up to 35mph in most states it will be interesting to see outcomes of games and cancellations. Non-conference action would be cancelled before conference if I had to guess.
FYI - the Etown game is at home v Scranton with a 1pm kick off - not @ Scranton. Should be an interesting game but one that Etown should come out on top in.
Quote from: igotthisfeeling on October 28, 2015, 08:32:01 AM
FYI - the Etown game is at home v Scranton with a 1pm kick off - not @ Scranton. Should be an interesting game but one that Etown should come out on top in.
Will they play even on the grass field and chop it up? I know it's Saturday but with all this rain it still might be soggy. Does it drain well? They will host all the way to the final so bad field conditions could be in the back of their minds. Any turf fields they would possibly move it to?
It does drain pretty well and they don't practice on that field so that will help keep it in good shape going into the weekend. Field has held up great all year so I don't see this time being any different! There is a local turf field they have played on before but that is a worst case scenario to go that route.
Quote from: igotthisfeeling on October 28, 2015, 10:17:26 AM
It does drain pretty well and they don't practice on that field so that will help keep it in good shape going into the weekend. Field has held up great all year so I don't see this time being any different! There is a local turf field they have played on before but that is a worst case scenario to go that route.
Great info thanks! I am sure it will be good by Saturday for them unless we get more unexpected rain in the region.
1. Kenyon @ OWU
2. Calvin @ Kzoo
3. Oneonta @ Lycoming
4. W&L @ Randolph
5. Stevens @ MIT
Honorable Mention
Stockton @ Rutgers-Camden
Williams @ Midd
Wabash @ DePauw
Bowdoin @ Tufts
Rutgers-Newark @ Montclair St