FB: Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association

[CarollFan]

For those of you who know D3 football - If Calvin goes 9-1 with their only loss being to Hope, how likely is it that they would get an at-large bid to the playoffs?

I don't know if you're familiar with Logan Hansen. He does a bunch of analytics around D3 football. He has a tool that gives you odds. You can adjust losses manually to see the odds. The odds seem good for Calvin. You can adjust losses for multiple teams. I put Calvin with 1 loss and Hope going undefeated and it came back 99.9% chance Calvin makes it in.

https://hansenratings.com/simulation/2026/scenarios/