2025 Playoffs

[Ron Boerger]

NPI updated thru 4/27:

6. La Verne (was 5)
12. Trinity (15)
21. CMS (16)
25. Concordia (32)
33. McMurry (42)
38. P-P (50)
50. CLU (45)
51. ETBU (34)
57. Redlands (56)
78. UMHB (113)
91. UPS (88)

[edit:  oops, I meant to post this in the West Region thread, fairly obviously.  Sorry!]

[Ralph Turner]

Pool C's thru the 04/27 NPI run

7) Salisbury
9) Rowan
10) UW-Lacrosse
17) Millsaps
21) CMS

22) Maryville
24) Emory
25) Concordia Texas
26) UW Oshkosh
28) Chicago

29) Randy Mac
30) Wash U St L
31) Ramapo
33) McMurry
35) Ohio Northern

36) Oswego
38) Pomona-Pitzer
39) Babson
40) Gettysburg
41) Piedmont

42) Montclair State
43) Keystone
44) Bethel MN
________________
45) Shenandoah
47) Wittenburg

48) Buena Vista
50) Cal Lu
52) Rutgers Camden
53) TCNJ
55) Spalding

Look at that; thru #44, there were 21 Pool A bids and 23 Pool C bids, with 20 Pool A bids to be awarded.

With Post-season conference tourneys, I have no idea how high up the bubble extends. Going 2-and-BBQ in a post-season tourney may destroy your NPI.

[Ralph Turner]

Dick, please elaborate. Also please consider the Receiving Votes teams in your comments.
Thx.

[DickWhitman]

Dick, please elaborate. Also please consider the Receiving Votes teams in your comments.
Thx.

I deleted my post. After looking through some previous "votes", I'm not positive the source providing the information are part of any official poll.

[Ralph Turner]

Thanks Dick.

I appreciate your re-assessment. With 23 at large bids, we are so deep into the pack, that the bubble teams can run the numbers on that game that they should not have lost and moan all off-season or for seniors, the rest of their lives. It was less objective in the Regional Rankings days, and the  experts at D3baseball.com would have real disagreements with the final 2-3 selections at large. (They were understandable objections, but nevertheless the committee ruled.)

[Ralph Turner]

Pool C's thru the 04/27 NPI run;  and then I have added the 04/30 NPI run. (I have skipped the 04/29 run.)

7) Salisbury  #7
9) Rowan      #9
10) UW-Lacrosse  #10
17) Millsaps  now #23 after loss to MUW
21) CMS  #22

22) Maryville #20
24) Emory  #24
25) Concordia Texas  #25
26) UW Oshkosh  #27 but played no games
28) Chicago Now #34 after the loss to Concordia Chicago

29) Randy Mac #29
30) Wash U St L  #30
31) Ramapo now #29
33) McMurry #33
35) Ohio Northern was #38, but played no games

36) Oswego Now # 32 after wins over Oneonta and Hobar
38) Pomona-Pitzer now #42 after loss to ULV on 04/29
39) Babson  Now #7
40) Gettysburg now #49 after a loss to McDaniel
41) Piedmont Now #38

42) Montclair State Now #39
43) Keystone Now #46 after loss to Alvernia and win over Neumann, now #52
44) Bethel MN Now #44
________________
45) Shenandoah Now #52 loss to E'town
47) Wittenburg  Now #41

48) Buena Vista now #43, but played no games; has 3-game series hosting Coe; must sweep to earn the Pool A[/u]
50) Cal Lu now #45
52) Rutgers Camden Now #48
53) TCNJ Now #51
55) Spalding Now #72 after loss to Hanover and win over Transy

Look at that; thru #44, there were 20 Pool A bids and 23 Pool C bids, with 21 Pool A bids to be awarded. ETBU fell below the threshold, but still is a Pool A going into the ASC tourney

With Post-season conference tourneys, I have no idea how high up the bubble extends. Going 2-and-BBQ in a post-season tourney may destroy your NPI.

[Ralph Turner]

Here is my run of the Pool C from last night. There were very few games to impact the standings. (Conference Pool A bid has been awarded.  *)

7) Salisbury
8) Rowan (jumped La Verne)
11) UW Lacrosse
19) CMS
20) Belhaven*

21) Millsaps
23) Emory*
24) UW Oshkosh
25) Concordia TX*
26) Maryville*

28) Randy Mac
30) WashU StL*
31) Oswego
32) Ohio Northern
34) Rutgers Camden

35) Chicago*
36) Coe
37) Ramapo
38) Redlands
39) Pomona-Pitzer

40) Wittenberg
41) McMurry*
43) Shenandoah
________________________________
44) Keystone
45) Mary Washington
46) ECSU is leading the LEC
47) Baldwin Wallace
48) Ithaca is leading the Liberty League
49) Cal Lutheran
50) TCNJ
51) Gettysburg

[Ralph Turner]

I ran McMurry's numbers comparing the result of 1 win versus the #4 seed (St Thomas) at roughly NPI #180 and 2 losses with Concordia TX, an NPI #25-30.

On 04/30, McM was #33 at 57.423. After the tourney, they were #41-42 with ~56.805.  McMurry gained 0.013 points by Huntingdon (whom they had beaten on 02/07) winning the CCS tourney (over Maryville and Belhaven).

We might see teams lose 0.5 to 0.7 points with losses in post-season tourneys. That is what the bubble watchers can use to see how their own team is going to float up and down the standings. For McMurry, poor post-season tourneys by Coe #36 thru Wittenberg #40, may permit McMurry to leap-frog them and escape a "bubble-busting" tidal wave.

Rutgers-Camden at 57.268 may be too high for McMurry to leapfrog. I think that Coe thru Wittenberg will get a bid if they make their conference tourney finals.

It certainly is fun watching this play out. It is definitely transparent.

[cubs]

Platteville knocks off WIAC Regular Season Champion and #1 seed Whitewater in thecopening game of the WIAC Tournament 6-3 this afternoon.

This result means that one of Whitewater, La Crosse or UWO is guaranteed to go "two & BBQ" in the WIAC Tournament this weekend.

It will be interesting to see how that affects that respective team's NPI number? Could it cost Whitewater or La Crosse the chance at hosting a Regional?

[cubs]

Platteville knocks off WIAC Regular Season Champion and #1 seed Whitewater in thecopening game of the WIAC Tournament 6-3 this afternoon.

This result means that one of Whitewater, La Crosse or UWO is guaranteed to go "two & BBQ" in the WIAC Tournament this weekend.

It will be interesting to see how that affects that respective team's NPI number? Could it cost Whitewater or La Crosse the chance at hosting a Regional?

UWO scores 4 in the 7th and 10 in the 8th to turn a 4-1 deficit into a 15-4 mercy rule victory.

Whitewater and La Crosse will square off tomorrow in an elimination game, though I'd guess the loser still earns a Regional berth.

[Ralph Turner]

Platteville knocks off WIAC Regular Season Champion and #1 seed Whitewater in thecopening game of the WIAC Tournament 6-3 this afternoon.

This result means that one of Whitewater, La Crosse or UWO is guaranteed to go "two & BBQ" in the WIAC Tournament this weekend.

It will be interesting to see how that affects that respective team's NPI number? Could it cost Whitewater or La Crosse the chance at hosting a Regional?

I am guessing that the most that UW-O can fall would be from #24 on the NPI thru 05/07 at 58.114 to no lower than 57.000 which is good for #39 (Pool C bid #20). This morning I had McMurry at #42 PoolC #23 at 56.807.

Of course the non-WIAC conspiracy theorists are anticipating the WIAC configuring the tourney to allow UW-P to win  it all to earn the Pool A and the conference gets a 4th bid. LOL! 

[Ralph Turner]

As of 05/07, here is the bubble.

38) Ramapo 57.079  (#19)
39) PP    56.989  (#20)
40) Witt  56.951  (#21)
41) TCNJ  56.929  (#22)
42) McMurry 56.807  (#23)

_________________
43) ETBU Pool A  56.780
44) ECSU Highest ranked team in the LEC  56.771
45) Shen    56.738
46) Keystone 56.671

[cubs]

Whitewater gets a 2-run HR in the bottom of the 6th inning to turn a 5-4 deficit into a 6-5 lead, and that margin holds up in an elimination game victory.

The Warhawks move on to play the loser of Platteville vs UWO at 4:00 this afternoon.

[cubs]

Whitewater gets a 2-run HR in the bottom of the 6th inning to turn a 5-4 deficit into a 6-5 lead, and that margin holds up in an elimination game victory.

The Warhawks move on to play the loser of Platteville vs UWO at 4:00 this afternoon.

Would appear that UWO is on their way to Championship Saturday as they lead Platteville 10-2 after five innings of play.  Platteville with have a rematch with Whitewater today at 4:00 with the winner needing to beat UWO twice tomorrow in order to earn the WIAC Tournament Championship and an automatic berth to the NCAA Division III Baseball Tournament.

[Ralph Turner]

Whitewater gets a 2-run HR in the bottom of the 6th inning to turn a 5-4 deficit into a 6-5 lead, and that margin holds up in an elimination game victory.

The Warhawks move on to play the loser of Platteville vs UWO at 4:00 this afternoon.

Would appear that UWO is on their way to Championship Saturday as they lead Platteville 10-2 after five innings of play.  Platteville with have a rematch with Whitewater today at 4:00 with the winner needing to beat UWO twice tomorrow in order to earn the WIAC Tournament Championship and an automatic berth to the NCAA Division III Baseball Tournament.

I did not have UW-O as a bubble burster, but congrats.